Risk • 8 Indicators
each indicator's current read since prior cycle start • striped band = target zone • orange band = cycle range, diamond = now
Stock-to-Flow•$65K(low)Estimates a price for Bitcoin based only on how scarce it is, and shows how the real price compares.
$59K
$125K
target ≤ $267Kcycle $59K–$125Ktarget ≥ $267K
days to halving621 days
2-Year MA Multiplier•$65K(low)Brackets Bitcoin between its two-year average price and five times that average, and shows where price sits between them.
$59K
$125K
target ≤ $87Kcycle $59K–$125Ktarget ≥ $437K
Support & Resistance Band•$65K(low)Draws a narrow price zone that Bitcoin tends to bounce off during rallies and get turned away at during declines.
$59K
$125K
target ≤ $69Kcycle $59K–$125Ktarget ≥ $69K
Price Boundary•$65K(neutral)Sets a floor (Balanced Price) and a ceiling (Terminal Price) for Bitcoin, both derived from how long coins sit untouched before being spent.
$59K
$125K
target ≤ $39Kcycle $59K–$125Ktarget ≥ $299K
MVRV Z-Score•0.40(neutral)Measures how far Bitcoin's price has run ahead of what its owners paid for it.
0.18
2.53
target ≤ 0.10cycle 0.18–2.53target ≥ 7.00
Puell Multiple•0.83(neutral)Compares what miners earn today against what they have earned on average over the past year.
0.51
1.35
target ≤ 0.50cycle 0.51–1.35target ≥ 3.50
Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL)•19%(neutral)Shows what fraction of Bitcoin's value is profit that owners are sitting on but have not sold.
0.09
0.56
target ≤ 0.00cycle 0.09–0.56target ≥ 0.75