Bitcoin Cycle Alerts
A Bitcoin cycle alert is one condition, plus optionally how much you mean to buy or sell when it is met. You set the levels once, in advance, every published day is graded against them, and whatever fired arrives in one email.
- Any reading on the site can carry one: the ten Risk indicators, the cycle clock, the three scores, price, and how far price has moved.
- Targets refit as the cycle does, so an alert follows its target rather than a number frozen on the day you set it.
- Whatever fired arrives in one email a day, with your own note beside it.
- Nothing is connected to an exchange. Your alerts are a record of what you decided, not orders.
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
What It Looks Like
What You Can Watch
Any of the ten indicators behind the Risk score, watched at its bottom target or its top target. Those are the same targets drawn on each indicator's own page, and four of the ten refit as cycle pivots confirm, so an alert tracks the target itself rather than the number it read the day you set it.
The projected top, the projected bottom, and the Bottom-to-Peak and Halving-to-Peak projections. An alert can sit on a projected date, or a whole number of days before or after it, up to 365 days either side. It stores the model and the offset rather than a date, so it moves when the projection moves.
Cycle Altitude, the Risk score, and the Time score each run from 0 to 100, so an alert on one of those names a level on that scale and fires at or above it, or at or below it.
A dollar level on the daily close. You do not pick a direction: whether it fires on the way up or the way down is worked out from where price sits when you save it.
How far the close has travelled over a trailing day, week or month. The comparison is on the size of the move rather than its direction, so one alert set at 10% fires on a 10% rise and on a 10% fall alike, up to 100%.
A confirmed cycle turn, watched one side at a time: bull-to-bear, or bear-to-bull. The turn is only called once the high or low has held for 14 days, so it arrives about two weeks after the price it is about, which is the point of waiting.
How It Works
The hardest part of a cycle is not reading it. It is acting on a reading while the price is moving and everything feels urgent.
An alert moves that decision earlier. You write down the level, and what you intend to do at it, on a quiet day. When the level arrives, you are told what you already decided.
Two switches sit at the top of the list and stand for many alerts at once. All Risk Indicators watches every one of the ten indicators at both its bottom and its top target. All Time Projections watches every projected date on the day it lands.
Each row names exactly what it covers, and switching a set off removes its alerts again and gives the slots back. The three scores are left out, because a score fires at a level you choose and a switch has no level to choose for you.
An alert can carry an amount of bitcoin to sell, an amount of cash to spend, both, or neither. Nothing is inferred from the level: what you intend is a number you type, and an alert with no amount is simply a notification.
You can also leave yourself a short note on any alert, so the reason a level mattered is there when it arrives rather than something you have to reconstruct.
Optionally say how much bitcoin you mean to sell in total, and how much cash you mean to spend. Your alerts are then added up against that.
If your alerts add up to 5 BTC and your goal is 3, the page says so. Nothing is capped and nothing is refused: the goal is your number, the amounts are yours, and the difference between them is just arithmetic worth seeing.
Progress toward a goal counts what has actually been hit, not what is still planned, so a list written in one sitting does not read as though it were already done.
Every alert is graded once a day, against the day the site publishes. Readings are published one day at a time, from the last finalized market day, so a condition on a date registers the day after the date it names, which is the same one-day lag the newest price bar carries.
Whatever fired is collected into a single email rather than arriving one message at a time, so a day that trips six alerts is one email and not six.
The figures in it are the figures on the row, used verbatim: the reading that met the condition, the target it met, your own note, and the amount you said you planned. Nothing is recalculated or reformatted to fit a narrow column, because the same alert has to read the same way in both places.
Email is one switch for your whole account, separate from the switch on each alert. Turn it off and every alert keeps running, keeps being graded, and keeps checking itself off on the page. Every email also carries a one-click unsubscribe that needs no sign-in.
Email is the only account field there is. There is no name, no phone number, and nothing read from a wallet or an exchange.
When a condition is met the alert is checked off, and it records the market day that tripped it, so what you see is a record of what happened rather than only what is true right now.
An alert set while its condition is already true does not fire on the spot. It waits until the reading leaves, because arriving somewhere is the event and already being there is not. Set an alert on a bottom target while the indicator is under it and you will be told when it comes back down, which is what you were asking about.
Every alert has a switch for whether it notifies you at all, and a separate setting for whether it repeats once it has. A list built for one cycle does not have to be rebuilt by hand for the next one, and one you are not watching yet can sit switched off until you are.
Trade The Cycle does not propose a level, an amount, or a number of alerts, and it does not rank one set against another. Every number is one you entered.
This is a planning and record-keeping tool for educational use. It is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked
Access Bitcoin Cycle Alerts
Set a trigger on most indicators on the site and receive an email the day its condition is met.
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.