Circle (CRCL) Bitcoin Correlation

Circle (CRCL) closed at $85 with a correlation to bitcoin of 0.65, which is moderate positive correlation. That figure is measured on 90 days of daily returns as of Oct 10, 2026, and it moves as the window rolls forward. Its beta to bitcoin over the same window is 1.58, which is how far it moved per unit of bitcoin's move.

Circle issues the USDC stablecoin and earns on the reserves backing it, which ties its results to interest rates as much as to crypto prices. It listed in 2025.

Correlation measures whether two prices moved together, not whether one caused the other and not by how much. A company can hold bitcoin and still track it loosely, and a company that holds none can track it closely because both respond to the same conditions.

Beta is the other half of that question. It measures how far this asset moved per unit of bitcoin's move over the same window, so a beta above 1 describes an asset that has swung wider than bitcoin and one below 1 describes an asset that has swung less. It is an average over the window, not a rate the next move has to follow.