Bitcoin Cycle Tops and Bottoms

November 2022 Bitcoin Cycle Bottom

Bitcoin bottomed at $15,758 on Nov 9, 2022. Cycle Altitude read 5 that day, from a Risk of 6 and a Time of 5. Altitude had first entered its extreme band 19 days earlier, on Oct 21, 2022. The detector committed to the pivot on Nov 23, 2022, 14 days after the extreme itself.

IndicatorReadingLow TargetHigh TargetGradeTarget Reached
Stock-to-Flow$15,758$60,452$60,4520Low target
2-Year MA Multiplier$15,758$38,057$190,2840Low target
Weekly MA Band$15,758$23,951$31,3740Low target
Price Boundary$15,758$15,962$103,7220Low target
Power Law$15,758$15,327$36,49350Not reached
MVRV Z-Score-0.36-0.132.500Low target
Puell Multiple0.480.501.530Low target
RHODL Ratio4734088,4650Low target
Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL)-33%1%62%0Low target
Pi Cycle Top0.32--1.0050Not reached

These per-indicator readings are a replay of the current engine over the record up to 2022-11-09. The three headline scores in the fact sheet come from the daily point-in-time replay, which used only what was knowable each day. The two are different measurements of the same date and can differ.

Fact Sheet
Extreme date
Nov 9, 2022
Price
$15,758
Cycle Altitude
5
Risk
6
Time
5
Extreme band entered
Oct 21, 2022 (19 days before the turn)
Watch armed
Nov 3, 2022 (6 days before the turn)
Confirmed
Nov 23, 2022 (14 days after the extreme)
Price when confirmed
$16,574
Confirmed by
Cycle Altitude in its extreme band
Leg searched
Nov 22, 2021 to Nov 23, 2022