Bitcoin Cycle Tops and Bottoms

November 2022 Bitcoin Cycle Bottom

Bitcoin bottomed at $15,758 on Nov 9, 2022. Cycle Altitude read 5 that day, from a Risk of 6 and a Time of 5. Altitude had first entered its extreme band 19 days earlier, on Oct 21, 2022. The detector committed to the pivot on Nov 23, 2022, 14 days after the extreme itself.

IndicatorReadingLow TargetHigh TargetGradeSaysTarget Reached
Stock-to-Flow$15,758$60,452$60,4520lowLow target
2-Year MA Multiplier$15,758$38,057$190,2840lowLow target
Support & Resistance Band$15,758$20,507$22,0690lowLow target
Price Boundary$15,758$15,962$103,7220lowLow target
Power Law$15,758$15,327$36,49350neutralNot reached
MVRV Z-Score-0.36-0.132.500lowLow target
Puell Multiple0.480.501.530lowLow target
RHODL Ratio4734088,4650neutralLow target
Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL)-33%1%62%0lowLow target
Pi Cycle Top0.32--1.0050neutralNot reached

These per-indicator readings are a replay of the current engine over the record up to 2022-11-09. The three headline scores in the fact sheet come from the daily point-in-time replay, which used only what was knowable each day. The two are different measurements of the same date and can differ.

Fact Sheet
Extreme date
Nov 9, 2022
Price
$15,758
Cycle Altitude
5
Risk
6
Time
5
Extreme band entered
Oct 21, 2022 (19 days before the turn)
Watch armed
Nov 5, 2022 (4 days before the turn)
Confirmed
Nov 23, 2022 (14 days after the extreme)
Price when confirmed
$16,574
Confirmed by
Cycle Altitude in its extreme band
Leg searched
Nov 30, 2021 to Nov 23, 2022